Demand for study abroad in Australia, Canada, and the UK is already affected by new international education policies

1. 📉 Tighter Visas & Enrollment Caps Reduce Student Demand

• Australia

  • In August 2024, the government announced a cap of 270,000 new international student commencements for 2025, down from over 400,000 in 2023 verbalistseducation.com

  • Since January 2024, stricter Genuine Temporary Entrant (GTE) tests, higher English/language requirements, and a doubling of student visa fees (from AUD 710 to AUD 1,600) have been introduced educationtimes.com.

  • Result: Australia saw visa applications drop ~30% year‑on‑year (Jan–May 2024 vs 2023) applyboard.com.

• Canada

  • In early 2024, Canada imposed a 2‑year study permit cap and reduced its quotas from ~485,000 to ~437,000 for 2025 timesofindia.indiatimes.com.

  • The required proof of funds has nearly doubled (to ~US $14,945), and post-study work permit (PGWP) eligibility has become stricter applyboard.com.

  • Consequence: study permit applications plunged – nearly 50% down in early 2024 vs 2023, and intake from India dropped ~40% between Feb 2023–Jan 2024 henleyglobal.com.

• United Kingdom

  • Since Jan 2024, newly arrived international students (beyond postgrads) can no longer bring family dependents, and the government is reviewing the Graduate Route visa educations.com.

  • “Dependants” visa issuance has dropped ~85%, and student visas fell ~16% (Jan–Sep 2024 vs 2023) .

  • Institutions report ~37% of prospective students are reconsidering UK plans due to these changes monitor.icef.com.

2. 📊 Declining Applications, Shifting Preferences

• A March 2025 MSM Unify survey highlighted dramatic application drops:

  • Canada: –46% (from ~868,000 to ~469,000)

  • Australia: –36%

  • UK: –16% theguardian.com.

• The ApplyBoard (April 2024) and ICEF surveys noted over 50% of recruitment partners reporting “significant or moderate decreases” in interest for these destinations; at the same time, interest in Germany, the U.S., and Ireland spiked applyboard.com.

• Aecc’s global survey found intentions to study in Canada down 32%, the UK down 16%, and Australia down 9%, with growing interest in New Zealand (+86%), Germany (+36%), and the U.S. (+13%) gslglobal.com.

• According to Studyportals/NAFSA, visa troubles and restrictive policies were a “significant enrollment barrier” for 93% of Canadian, 86% Australian, and 70% U.S. universities theguardian.com

3. ⚠️ Institutional & Economic Fallout

• Australia:

  • The Guardian notes 70% of Australian universities fell in QS rankings, attributed partly to policy uncertainty and migration restrictions that discourage top talent theguardian.com.

• Canada / UK:

  • With Indian/Nigerian student numbers declining sharply, institutions face enrollment gaps and revenue pressure .

• IDP Education, a major placement agency, reported a global 28–30% drop in student placements and 18–20% decline in language test volumes—citing the policies of Australia, Canada, UK, and the U.S. erudera.com.

  • The firm warns of a potential 20–25% contraction in the international student market over 2024–25 wsj.com.

• The financial ripple effect:

  • Australia earned AUD 5 billion in international education in 2018; Canada added CAD 31 billion (~US 23 billion) in 2022 ft.com Cuts in student inflows are expected to strain universities, housing, local economies, and public services.

4. 🔍 Why Students Are Reconsidering

Top concerns cited by prospective students:

1. Uncertainty in policy—frequent changes to visa rules, caps, and eligibility

2. Post-study prospects—limited work rights, family reunification bans

3. Transparency & costs—higher financial requirements, visa fees

4. Alternative appeal—more welcoming EU destinations (Germany, Finland) and the U.S. verbalistseducation.com

From Reddit:
“Nearly two‑thirds said they would change their destination … because of post‑study visa access rules … Canada recorded the highest rate of student decliners – followed by Australia.” reddit.com

📌 Outlook & Recommended Strategies

• Australia, Canada, and the UK must clarify immigration and study pathways, focusing on transparent visa timelines, realistic financial expectations, and restored post-study work opportunities.

• Institutions should boost communication, reassure students about rules, and highlight support programs emkglobal.com.au.

• Diversifying recruitment away from India/Nigeria and into emerging markets may help buffer enrollment volatility.

• Students are now valuing not just academic quality, but also family inclusion, career access, and affordability with certainty.

✅ Final Thoughts

New education and migration policies in Australia, Canada, and the UK—like intake caps, visa fee hikes, and restrictions on dependents—have already caused noticeable drops in study‑abroad demand. Prospective international students are actively shifting toward destinations with greater clarity, stability, and post-study flexibility. As a result, anglophone nations are racing to adjust their strategies—or risk losing ground to other global study hubs.

Key news on international‑education decline

 

 

theaustralian.com.au

Crackdown on international students hits education provider

il y a 22 jours